Adil Najam
Before the elections Dawn News had done a series on who should become the next Prime Minister of Pakistan. I am not sure what the result there was. But I do know that the question is real again. Much more real.
Speculation is rife. Theories about. The more we talk about it, the more confused we get. The game is interesting, but is it just a game?
There are too many questions, and too few answers.
- Will we get a grand ‘coalition of [nearly] the whole, which will have 3/4th majority and could replace the President and rehabilitate the Constitution?
- Will PPP and PML-N part ways – either because PML-N will choose to be the ‘friendly’ opposition or because they both realize they cannot work together?
- What about the PML-Q? They are also talking to the PPP. Is a PPP-PML-Q coalition on teh cards?
- They say Amin Fahim is over, is he?
- Will we get a PM from the Punjab – Gillani, Qureshi or Mukhtar – to highlight that PPP is not just a ‘Sindhi’ party? If so, will this is permanent or temporary while the party waits for Asif Zardari to be elected from somewhere?
- With Maulana Fazlur Rahman doing his ‘meetings’, is he still in the game?
- What about the ANP? Could we see a consensus candidate emerging from there in the ruling coalition?
- And what about the provinces. It seemed that things were clear – PML-N in the Punjab, PPP in Sindh, ANP in NWFP and PML-Q in Balochistan. Will that actually be?
And you could answer any of them in the affirmative depending on what you already think and which news reports you have been reading. Any ideas what might actually happen?
In a recent post on ATP ‘temporal‘ had asked who should become the next president of Pakistan. We ask a similar question today but the intent this time is not normative, but practical. The question, this time, is not who should become the next President, but who you think will become the next Prime Minister, given the way the cards have been dealt with the last elections.
so, Koun Baney Ga Wazeer-i-Aazm? Any thoughts?
who will become PM = Gillani
who should = Khan Abdul Asfandiyar Wali Khan!
DrunWali, PukhtunWali.
I believe, party tickets are not just awarded by the head. The central exuecutive council in the case of the PPP sits and decides what course of action is to be taken. It’s not always a singular selection. Rather, the entire council is taken into confidence first.
But in a way you are right. Ideally, intra-party elections must precede in all pary nominations. However, a tradition has been set (a tradition we have allowed to get settled), and so this custom will be followed for years to come.
In my opinion Makhdoom Amin fahim will be the next PM of Pakistan, he is senour and understand that what politics actually is. He was closer companion of Muhtarma, i think he will be.
Can’t answer that question, too many variables.
I would however like to see the option of voting for the PM by the people in the next general elections. At least let the people decide who from the nominees should become the PM, and the winning party’s nominee gets it.
I think there is also a second interesting question.
How long will the next Prime Minister last. I think not very long and we will soon see a new elections. Maybe within 2008.