Adil Najam
Flicking through Pakistani TV channels I note that all of Pakistan’s mediadom seems to be waiting for imminent release of new documents on WikiLeaks, reportedly including communication from US officials on Pakistan, Pakistanis, Pakistani politicians, and Pakistani agencies and officials.
News junkie that I am, I must confess that I, too, am waiting for Wikileaks. But I am not really sure ‘what’ I am waiting for – or anticipating to hear – from Wikileaks. Nor, do I think, does anyone else. At least any Pakistani. Maybe that is what makes the entire episode so enticing. But it also shows just how messed up US-Pakistan relations really are today.
Amidst all the talk about how dangerous the leaks might be and how they might spoil relations between the US and its supposed ‘allies,’ I wonder exactly what we might find from the leaked documents that would really ‘surprise’ any Pakistani leader, or Pakistani journalist, or any Pakistani for that matter?
Would we, for example, learn that US officials have no trust in or respect for any Pakistani leader, or for Pakistanis, or for Pakistan? And if we did, would that really be a surprise or ‘news’ for anyone in Pakistan or in the US?
Or, maybe, the leaked documents will tell us that the US has continued and plans to continue an illegal, immoral and ineffective campaign of drone attacks into the territory of one of its closest ‘allies’? That despite their apparent protestations the Pakistan government has remained cognizant but acted ignorant of this campaign? That these attacks have consumed more civilian life than military targets, increased anti-Americanism in Pakistan? And if they did, would that be a surprise for anyone who has watched TV news or opened a Pakistani newspaper at anytime in the last year?
Maybe they will reveal that the amount of contempt that Pakistani institutions and officials have for the US is matched only by the contempt that US institutions and officials have for Pakistan? Or that the Pakistan’s favorite pundit sport of ‘blame it on America’ is no different from America’s favorite pundit sport of ‘blame it on Pakistan’? And if it does, who, pray tell me, is supposed to be surprised by that?
Of course, I do realize that the entire point of a ‘surprise’ is that it cannot be anticipated. That, after all, is the point of calling it a surprise. Indeed, there will be surprises. More than that there will be validation of that which we already believed. And most of all there will be details. All of these will keep the news wheels grinding – in their different styles and rhythms, but with equal but inconsequential fervor – in both Pakistan and USA.
But the real and most important revelation that these particular Wikileaks could make about US-Pakistan relations has already come out in the run-up frenzy to the leaks: The US-Pakistan relationship is at such a low point in both USA and in Pakistan that nothing – well, maybe ‘nearly’ nothing – can make the trust deficit too much worse than it already is.
There are a number of papers directly about Pakistan in the new Wikileaks: http://www.dawn.com/2010/11/27/wikileaks-plans-to- release-94-papers-about-pakistan-2.html
Some pretty amazing things, mostly focused on Iran. For anyone who wants to read it check out:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/interactive/2010/n ov/28/us-embassy-cables-wikileaks
@Imran and @Adnan.
So the great news out of all this fuss is that the Saudi King does not like Zardari?
Really? I have news for the Saudi King. Nor does most of Pakistan?
If THAT is the big leak then we really living in lalaland.
This batch of leaks will do a lot of damage to US foreign policy the world over. The impact will reverberate from Berlin to Beijing and then some. Regarding Pakistan, the news is that the US has been trying to take control of nuclear fuel from a certain “research reactor” since 2007. Now this is not public knowledge. I have not been able to find the cable where this is discussed but needless to say, Pakistani media and armchair analysts will have a field day with this item alone. It seems that a decision made by Musharraf will impact the current setup. It will also not be wrong to say that this decision probably did not have the acquiescence of the military leadership.
Then there is a statement by the Saudi King calling Mr Zardari a rotting head which is impacting all of Pakistan, or words to that affect. The statement is a variant of what we have been hearing all along but what has usually been attributed to unnamed diplomats. Here we have the head of an important ally denigrating Zardari to a third party. Not much will come of it as the Saudi government will come through with oil subsidies and all will be well until the next batch of wikileaks is released.
The wiki leaks website is trying to head of attacks on the server. Assange on the other hand is trying to figure out where he’ll spend tomorrow night and then the night after. There must be a movie in the works as well……
All wikileaks will do is to reconfirm peoples views, whatever they already are. No change. No difference.