New Provinces in Punjab and Beyond: Why Not?

Posted on April 28, 2011
Filed Under >Adil Najam, Economy & Development, Politics, Society
78 Comments
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Adil Najam

For as long as I can remember, I have heard passionate arguments about whether the four provinces of Pakistan should be divided into multiple smaller provinces. The discussion has, once again, gained momentum. This time its the issue of Karachi as a separate province and the the re-focus on converting Southern Punjab into a separate province (a ‘Saraiki sooba‘).

The political optics of the situation remain in flux, but there seems to be a growing sense that eventually some reordering of the provinces is on the cards. The constitutional changes under the 18th Ammendment also has a lot to do with this and as provinces take on new roles there is a sense of change and politicians are hedging their bets. I think all of this may be for the good – if, and only if, the decisions are taken sensibly and for overall administrative and policy improvement rather than just for political expediency. My question for our readers today is whether — irrespective of political motives — creating a new provinces is a good idea, including in Southern Punjab? And what this may mean, if anything, for other provinces?

First, let me put my own cards on the table. The first time I wrote about this subject was back in the 1980s – in an op-ed in The Muslim I argued for a total of 6 to 8 provinces (each of the current four provinces being redrawn along lines consistent with historic, linguistic and cultural affinities). My most radical idea, then, was to reconsider the provinces not just along the lines of existing provinces but across existing lines (to use language as an example, Hindko, Sindhi, Seraiki, and Pushto speakers all straddle across current provincial lines). My motivation then, and now, stemmed from demographic concerns of concentration of populations, resources and, therefore, power in one province and the attendant feelings of peripheralization felt by other provinces. Importantly, this can – and has – led to a politics of fragmentation and distrust where it becomes too easy to evoke distrust and disdain through legitimate as well as exaggerated fears. There is also the concern about fewer provinces strengthening a provincial group identity at the expense of a national identity as well as of more local identities. Importantly, in the case of the Saraiki belt, the local identity sentiment for a separate province is the strongest reason to support such an initiative.

After writing that piece I remember having protracted conversations on this with the late Dr. Mahbub-ul-Haq who had been arguing for a much more elaborate scheme that would end with there being 16-25 different provinces. Over the years I have become more and more sympathetic to his developmental argument: that creating smaller provinces will also de-centralize power and localize opportunities – each provincial capital requires a provincial capital infrastructure and create local employment and opportunities and therefore development opportunities get spread around the country rather than being centralized in a few locations.

I tend, therefore, to lean towards this idea. However, practical realities have tended to mute my enthusiasm somewhat. But, only somewhat. I realize, of course, the fractious politics that will be unleashed in the process of redrawing provincial lines, even though my hope has been that the coalitional politics that will emerge for having more units will be, in fact, less fractious than our current provincial frictions. There is also the practical matter that while in most of the country the affinities have long historical and cultural roots the demographics in urban Sindh are ‘modern’ and constructed through the traumas of sudden migration patterns. Not surprisingly, the resultant identity politics also tends to be more traumatic.

So, my own leanings on this are clear and I would support a Seraiki province, even if a more elaborate redrawing of provincial units across the country were not possible at this time. Three reasons would make me support such a move: (a) it is a deep demand of the area itself and (b) it begins to balance out provincial distributions and (c) amongst the various cases for provincial redrawings this is clearly the strongest case for the clear cultural and historic affinities and this could serve as an important first step.

I have been in this debate long enough to know that there can, and will, be many arguments against mine. So, lets please hear them. Is there a logic to redrawing provincial units? If so, why? If not, why not? I suspect it will not be so, but I hope people will focus especially on the longer-term national logic of such a move rather than whatever short-term political gains or losses this might mean to particular political operatives.

P.S. This post is an updated version of an earlier post published on July 3, 2009. It has been updated to reflect the current issues around this topic.

78 responses to “New Provinces in Punjab and Beyond: Why Not?”

  1. Jamshed says:

    Pakistan has seen enough provincial problems.A recent example is the fuss that has been created over the renaming of the NWFP.Punjab should be left as it is.

  2. Fatima says:

    (Please read this all) I disagree with this thought. Together we stand and divided we fall. This quote is a very popular one which proves that Pakistan should defiantly not be divided into smaller provinces in my opinion. It is to me like breaking Pakistan, itself apart. Of course, it is one country and most people think that provinces do not make much of a different but they do make a lot of it. If provinces start fighting with each other, then what will be left of Pakistan? The people who will rule the province will be the only one who will get any advantage out of it resulting in money. The important thing is that people should think Pakistan is one, we all are one, tto forget about their provinces and unite together to save the recent circumstance but as this is not happening, more provinces will be divided and the more Pakistan will break apart.

  3. Fatima says:

    (please read all of it) I am sorry but I disagree with this thought. Together we stand and divided we fall. This quote is a very popular one which proves that Pakistan should defiantly not be divided into smaller provinces in my opinion. It is to me like breaking Pakistan, itself apart. Of course, it is one country and most people think that provinces do not make much of a different but they do make a lot of it. If provinces start fighting with each other, then what will be left of Pakistan? The people who will rule the province will be the only one who will get any advantage out of it resulting in money. The important thing is that people should think Pakistan is one, we all are one, tto forget about their provinces and unite together to save the recent circumstance but as this is not happening, more provinces will be divided and the more Pakistan will break apart.

  4. Joe Conseico says:

    It would be a good idea to further divide the provinces so they can be managed easily but first Pakistan need to resolve internal problems. FATA, NWFP and Southern Punjab need to clean from extremist and terrorist. RAW (India), MASAD (Israel) and CIA is taking advantage of the weak Pakistan government and current situation to destabilize Pakistan.
    Why would Obama allow CIA to destabilize Pakistan? Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) is involved in drug smuggling from Afghanistan. Ahmed Wali Karzai, the brother of the president (Hamid Karzai) of Afghanistan, gets regular payments from the CIA and has for much of the past eight years. CIA is directly working with RAW to destabilize to divide and capture part of the Balochistan so they have route to smuggle drugs out of Afghanistan. This is one of the reason USA/CIA doesn’t want Pakistan to fence and mine the PAK/Afghan border.
    George Bush government support CIA, Obama, Hillery all supporting CIA and RAW agent working in Afghanistan and Pakistan. This has further weaken Pakistan government and law and order situation is getting worse. There is also pressure from India, India keep blaming Pakistan for it’s internal problem, staging Bomboy attack and blaming Pakistan. The war between India and Pakistan is inevitable, whether it is about water distribution, (Indus Basin Waters Treaty between India and Pakistan) or 62 years old Kashmir conflict. “A conflict over land between the people of Kashmir and the government of India will soon become a thing of the past. On the other hand, a water war between Kashmir and Pakistan is inevitable in the future.”

    http://img524.imageshack.us/i/indiapakistan2015.jp g/

  5. Talha Bin Masood says:

    @ Bilal says: July 10th, 2009 4:18 pm
    “I dont think that Punjab or Pakistan should be divided into anymore pieces. as its an old saying United we Stand Divided we fall”

    i would just like answer your concern, my friend that dividing Pakistan into more provinces has nothing to do with the “Unity”, its just a means of providing a better organization. As far as unity is concerned as the current four provinces are living with Unity (of whatever extent) then 12 or 16 provinces could also live like that.

    Suppose if we accept your argument then what do you think? why is the need of having even 4 provinces? why shouldn’t we combine all 4 into 1 i.e. Pakistan?.

    I give you another example if you are given a 4000 yard plot to build a house, how many rooms will you build in that? only 1? or 4?….if you ask me, I think I’ll really have to put an effort to think about the overall design (no. of rooms, to make it simple) which will be based upon my requirements i.e. How many people will be living in that house? How many families are there? What families are bigger in size and what are smaller? Which family have kids, which have elders? Which family have Old age people etc. etc……so I’ll have to put up a design catering the needs of all of these people. And don’t you think Pakistan having a total population of over 16million needs a better geographic structure??

    I totally support the idea!!

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