New Provinces in Punjab and Beyond: Why Not?

Posted on April 28, 2011
Filed Under >Adil Najam, Economy & Development, Politics, Society
78 Comments
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Adil Najam

For as long as I can remember, I have heard passionate arguments about whether the four provinces of Pakistan should be divided into multiple smaller provinces. The discussion has, once again, gained momentum. This time its the issue of Karachi as a separate province and the the re-focus on converting Southern Punjab into a separate province (a ‘Saraiki sooba‘).

The political optics of the situation remain in flux, but there seems to be a growing sense that eventually some reordering of the provinces is on the cards. The constitutional changes under the 18th Ammendment also has a lot to do with this and as provinces take on new roles there is a sense of change and politicians are hedging their bets. I think all of this may be for the good – if, and only if, the decisions are taken sensibly and for overall administrative and policy improvement rather than just for political expediency. My question for our readers today is whether — irrespective of political motives — creating a new provinces is a good idea, including in Southern Punjab? And what this may mean, if anything, for other provinces?

First, let me put my own cards on the table. The first time I wrote about this subject was back in the 1980s – in an op-ed in The Muslim I argued for a total of 6 to 8 provinces (each of the current four provinces being redrawn along lines consistent with historic, linguistic and cultural affinities). My most radical idea, then, was to reconsider the provinces not just along the lines of existing provinces but across existing lines (to use language as an example, Hindko, Sindhi, Seraiki, and Pushto speakers all straddle across current provincial lines). My motivation then, and now, stemmed from demographic concerns of concentration of populations, resources and, therefore, power in one province and the attendant feelings of peripheralization felt by other provinces. Importantly, this can – and has – led to a politics of fragmentation and distrust where it becomes too easy to evoke distrust and disdain through legitimate as well as exaggerated fears. There is also the concern about fewer provinces strengthening a provincial group identity at the expense of a national identity as well as of more local identities. Importantly, in the case of the Saraiki belt, the local identity sentiment for a separate province is the strongest reason to support such an initiative.

After writing that piece I remember having protracted conversations on this with the late Dr. Mahbub-ul-Haq who had been arguing for a much more elaborate scheme that would end with there being 16-25 different provinces. Over the years I have become more and more sympathetic to his developmental argument: that creating smaller provinces will also de-centralize power and localize opportunities – each provincial capital requires a provincial capital infrastructure and create local employment and opportunities and therefore development opportunities get spread around the country rather than being centralized in a few locations.

I tend, therefore, to lean towards this idea. However, practical realities have tended to mute my enthusiasm somewhat. But, only somewhat. I realize, of course, the fractious politics that will be unleashed in the process of redrawing provincial lines, even though my hope has been that the coalitional politics that will emerge for having more units will be, in fact, less fractious than our current provincial frictions. There is also the practical matter that while in most of the country the affinities have long historical and cultural roots the demographics in urban Sindh are ‘modern’ and constructed through the traumas of sudden migration patterns. Not surprisingly, the resultant identity politics also tends to be more traumatic.

So, my own leanings on this are clear and I would support a Seraiki province, even if a more elaborate redrawing of provincial units across the country were not possible at this time. Three reasons would make me support such a move: (a) it is a deep demand of the area itself and (b) it begins to balance out provincial distributions and (c) amongst the various cases for provincial redrawings this is clearly the strongest case for the clear cultural and historic affinities and this could serve as an important first step.

I have been in this debate long enough to know that there can, and will, be many arguments against mine. So, lets please hear them. Is there a logic to redrawing provincial units? If so, why? If not, why not? I suspect it will not be so, but I hope people will focus especially on the longer-term national logic of such a move rather than whatever short-term political gains or losses this might mean to particular political operatives.

P.S. This post is an updated version of an earlier post published on July 3, 2009. It has been updated to reflect the current issues around this topic.

78 responses to “New Provinces in Punjab and Beyond: Why Not?”

  1. sidhas says:

    Couple of points.

    The idea should be whether or not New province help good governance and long term stability. If yes, go ahead make more provinces. Actually, every community should have right to make province just like all nations have right to self-determination and they have passed the litmus test for self determination which self gonverance. Likewise, each community should have right to form province.

    Second point: This should have been done sometime back when East Pakistan was still with us. Instead, we made One Unit to form parity between West Pakistan with East Pakistan that in turn stoked fires of ethnicity in West Pakistan.

    Conclusion:

    Though ground realities haven’t changed and become harsher and though primordial identities still persist with vengenance. This irrationality will subside only when there is incentive for all parties to come to the table and reach a decision. I think South Punjab is a crazy mess and I am sure people will gladly let go. Who needs Tribals and Talibans.

  2. Sajjad Junaidi says:

    I would say, abolish all provinces and make small municipalities or districts. We do have them any way, so just need to get rid of one layer of bureaucracy, i.e provincial government. One Pakistan, not divided into race and language but into small communities.

  3. Shez says:

    Karachi should be made a province. The so-called representative party of Karachi has let its citizens down every time. It has given them nothing. At least give them a province of their own. Unfortunately, I don’t see that happening as the British leader of the party is vacationing in Switzerland and the once-poor MNAs are now living in DHA. Such a shame!

    Ordinary Karachiites should stand up and raise their voice for a separate province.

  4. Shafiq says:

    There seems to be strong support here for more provinces and have cited examples from India, Iran and Holland etc. However, there seems to be big differences between those countries and Pakistan. In Holland politicians act and decide in the interest of their country – not saying that perks are not there. In Pakistan we have large cabinets, our politicians decisions are for commission, perks family benefits and with more provinces would we not have more VIPS, more police for their protection and escort duties, bureaucrats corrupt self-serving politician from the same families. And all financed and supported from the poor suffering individuals and foreign loans with even less being diverted towards the development, education, health.

    Yes do increase the number of provinces but lets first put the house in order.

  5. Z says:

    Make more provinces or states or whatever one calls it..maximum size to be not more than 10 million [ should be reduced to 5 in the next stage]. More than that is not manageable and can not be coherent.

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