ATP Poll: What Will be the Impacts of 2006?

Posted on December 23, 2006
Filed Under >Adil Najam, ATP Poll, Politics, Society
47 Comments
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Adil Najam

Its time to take stock of the year 2006. Its also time for another ATP Poll.

We did think of doing something around a ‘Person of the Year’ theme and I even thought of a few possible candidates (here, here and here). But that seemed too obvious, and more likely to turn into a popularity contest rather than a thought-provoking discussion.

Instead, we want to focus on the following question:

WHICH EVENTS AND TRENDS FROM 2006 ARE MOST LIKELY TO LEAVE A LASTING IMPACT ON PAKISTAN POLITICS AND SOCIETY?

Our desire is to have the focus not just on what has happened in 2006, but in the implication of what happened in 2006 on the FUTURE of Pakistan. The emphasis is clearly on the future, and we hope to have a good discussion on why, which trend will impact the future of Pakistan, how.

(An explanation of what we mean by each choice is given below; because of a cache plug-in your vote may not appear in the results immediately.)

Unlike previous ATP Polls (on women rights, Gen. Musharraf’s future, past leaders, and Gen. Musharraf’s performance), the challenge here is not in phrasing the question but in figuring out possible options for the answer. Since we do not have the technological ability to allow readers to add their own options, we have narrowed down the list to the following ten key events and event-related trends. We are sure other things that could have been added to this, but without wanting to make this too long, too unwieldy or too broad, we have decided upon the following possible events and trends as answer choices. (Some of are very directly related to a specific event but signifying broader underlying trends; others are broader trends that relate to a collectivity of multiple smaller events.)

Movement on Pakistan-India relations (also here and here), especially including recent moves by Pakistan on Kashmir and related improvements in Pakistan-India relations.

Hiccups in Pakistan-USA relations (also here), including Pres. Bush’s visit to India and Pakistan and Gen. Musharraf’s visit to USA.

Frictions in Pakistan-Afghanistan relations, including the re-rise of Taliban.

The killing of Nawab Akbar Bugti (also here) and the continuing unrest and volatility in Balochistan.

Signs of an impending break-up of the Mutihadda Majlis-i-Amal (MMA), including over the resignation issue.

Positive economic trends, including rise of foreign investments in Pakistan (including for high visibility projects like the Centaurus), strength in some service sectors like telecommunication and banking, etc.

Negative economic trends, including rise in cost of living, inflationary pressures, stock-market controversies, etc.

Continuation of sectarianism and sectarian violence, including various attacks during first part of the year.

The passage of the Womens’ Rights Bill (also, here and here) and related events signifying a change in role of women in society (here, here and here).

Changes being brought into education curriculum and other educational reform, including how other communities and religions are portrayed within historical and other texts.

If you do want to influence the results, please, by all means ask your friends to also vote. Feel welcome to use the ‘Email’ button at the very top to send to your friends.

Voting is anonymous; as it should be. This is, of course, not be a very scientific poll, but it will at least give us a sense of what this community � the ATP cohort � thinks. Do vote, but please vote only once (even if you are smart enough to beat the system somehow).

47 responses to “ATP Poll: What Will be the Impacts of 2006?”

  1. Education reform will have the longest shadow in my opinion on our collective destiny.

    Pakistan’s syllabi were destroyed through deliberate distortion in the 1980s- funded by American Dollars and University of Nebraska aimed at transforming Pakistan from a simple Muslim Majority State to a stauncly ideological and militarised hardline Islamic state as bullwark against communism … thank god the current syllabus being introduced is not ideological… but realistic. If American dollars are funding it then it is ironic… maybe Americans have suddenly realised that their course of action in the past was probably not the right one.

    In any event I am glad someone has had the courage to undo the poisonous legacy/by product of the 1980s war against USSR.

  2. [quote post=”484″]Shujaat and Benazir meet in Dubai, discuss 2007 elections[/quote]

    Is Shujaat visiting for Dubai Shopping festival? :>

    He might have seen BB busy in shopping for Zardari so he would have thought k lagay hatoun siyasat bhe hojayee

  3. PatExpat says:

    For those of you who praise Turkey, have you ever been to Turkey. Except for the urban areas in the Western parts, Turkey is relatively poor and religiously inclined even after more than half a century of Kemalist politicians. Despite that, there has been a strong revival of islamists – the current AK party.

    And if you follow Turkish politics, there is conflict appearing between the popularly elected AK party and the country’s president and the army (vanguards of secularism) who are trying to prevent them for implementing their laws.

    And what if few years down the line, we have a strong islamist government, (seems unthinkable now but it happened in Turkey after more than half a century of secularists) would we accept it (like the Turks have done) or would we request someone in uniform to jump in with his uniform and push through secular politics or block islamist policies.

    After Kemalization, they are moving back to islamization. I hope this aspect is also acceptable to all those praising Turkey.

  4. Adil Najam says:

    Given the discussion above, the following news, from Daily Times today, seems relevant by way of update:

    Shujaat and Benazir meet in Dubai, discuss 2007 elections

    ISLAMABAD: In an unexpected political development, Pakistan Muslim League (PML) President Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain and former prime minister Benazir Bhutto met in Dubai on Tuesday and exchanged “pleasantriesâ€

  5. Eidee Man says:

    [quote comment=”20473″][quote post=”484″] Pakistan is on its way to become another Turkey, if Musharraf has his way.[/quote]

    If only we were so lucky!!!

    I agree more with what Azmat Ullah said that it may be the year of the return of BB.[/quote]

    Funny, but I do hope that the next year brings about a revival of mainstream political parties.

    BTW, is your name real…or is it a play on Adil Najam… :)

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